2018 World Cup: Argentina vs. Nigeria odds, expert picks, insider predictions

It's do-or-die for Argentina as it takes on Nigeria in its final opening-round match of the 2018 World Cup on Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET. Both squads will be desperate for the full three points to advance out of Group D, which also features Croatia and Iceland. Favored Argentina is posted at -195, meaning you would need to wager $195 on an Argentine victory to gain a $100 profit. Nigeria is +500 (risk $100 to win $500), while a draw is +340. The Over-Under on total goals scored in this 2018 World Cup match is 2.5.

Before you enter your 2018 World Cup picks, you have to see what European soccer expert David Sumpter has to say. Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Together with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, the Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.
It already has nailed plenty of 2018 World Cup picks already, including a draw between Australia and Denmark (+265), Senegal (+220) knocking off Poland, and Iran defeating Morocco at +275, just to name a few. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the Soccerbot has digested the film, crunched the numbers and broken down every single player on Argentina and Nigeria's rosters. The model has released a very strong money-line pick, which it's sharing over at SportsLine.

The model knows Nigeria got the best of Iceland, outshooting its opponent by a 16-10 margin and possessing the ball for 56 percent of the time. The Nigerians also outplayed Croatia, but fell 2-0.

In order to advance to the 2018 World Cup knockout stage from this very competitive group, Nigeria will need another huge performance from Ahmed Musa. The 25-year-old striker, who tallied both goals versus Iceland, will need to use his speed to free up quality scoring chances.

The model also knows Argentina is led by 31-year-old phenom Lionel Messi. The 14-year Barcelona star has tallied five career World Cup goals and an incredible 64 in international competition. Messi must lead the offensive charge if Argentina expects to advance.

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